"Nothing is concealed that will not be revealed." (Matthew 4:22)
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This SIG deals witth all things Holmesian sometimes seriously, sometimes playfully, here and in our newsletter, The Norbury Chronicle.
The title of the newsletter refers to the Canonical story, "The Adventure of the Yellow Face" which took place in Norbury, in which Holmes was wrong! One of the rare times he was. He told Watson that if he ever saw him in danger of jumping to conclusions again he should whisper the word "Norbury."
Below you will find the article we wrote for The Deal Table (Autumn 1988),
"So absurdly simple"
"Every problem becomes very childish when once it is explained..." Holmes said at the beginning of what would become the Hilton Cubitt manslaughter case. At that time Holmes already recognized that the symbols stood for letters. (DANC 155:A) He assumed it to be systematic and so solvable. (40:A-C) In the first
\o/ \o/
message he counted four | and three |_ , representing 27& and 20% of the
/ \ / |
message respectively, as compared to 13% for "E" and 10%, 8%, 7%, and 6% for "T", "A", "O" and "I". From the distribution of flags at an average of one per 3.75 symbols as compared to 4.50 spaces per word, the flags would indeed
\o/
suggest space indicators. Taking them as so, we see that |_ appears initially
/ | \o/
50% of the time as compared to 22% for "E" and 14% for "S". | appears
/ \
finally 50% as compared to 18% for "T" and 12% for "A". This wold not be enough to indicate which the \o/ could be, but Holmes had to start somewhere.
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Logically he went with the most probable, "E".
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